What ?

1918 – A Gelding by the name of Extermintor wins the Kentucky Derby over a muddy track as the longest shot on the board.

2009 – A Gelding by the name of Mine That Bird wins the Kentucky Derby over a muddy track as the longest shot on the board.

1918 – Chevrolet files for Bankruptcy

2009 – Chevrolet files for Bankruptcy

1918 – America is at war

2009 – America is at war

1918 – The Spanish Flu is killing people all over the world

2009 – The Mexican Flu is killing people all over the world

The only thing missing is a 2009 Civil War in Finland, if that happens anytime soon then i’ll be certain that i’ve gone back in time, oh wait, there’s my 1918 Julian Calendar.

Does all this mean the Boston Red Sox will win the World Series this year like they did in 1918, the Boston Celtics are the current NBA Champions, and the Boston Bruins are looking good to win the Stanley Cup, so what’s up with Boston, should i learn to speak Irish ?

Maybe it’s all just a bad dream, that’s gotta be it, the Red Sox can’t win the World Series without Babe Ruth.

I Want Revenge

Normally in a 20 horse field i’d look for a live longshot but i just can’t look past this guy, even with his come from behind style and 19 year old jockey guiding him through traffic i think he’ll find a way to win.

My other top contenders are…

Friesan Fire
Pioneer Of The Nile

Both Friesan Fire and Pioneer Of The Nile have won all 3 of their races this year and are coming into this race off of their best performance last time out.

Those are my top 3 contenders, Dunkirk is my 4th choice and could run big in the Belmont Stakes, he’s short on experience having only 3 lifetime starts, and regular rider Gomez opted to ride Pioneer Of The Nile, i consider him a late bloomer and someone who could run better later in the year.

A longshot i was considering is Desert Party, coming in from Dubai, he has that tactical speed, stamina, and class that makes him a contender, but the one thing that put me off him was that regular rider Frankie Dettori didn’t fly in to ride him, i know Frankie was talking about how he wanted to win this race several months ago and this was his horse, so that put me off him. I suspect the reason is that they know his stablemate Regal Ransom, the other horse from Dubai is the better horse at the moment, Regal Ransom is the dark horse longshot, he likes the extra distance, he ran the best race of his life last time out winning the $2 million UAE Derby, his sire Distorted Humor produced 2003 winner Funny Cide, and jockey Alan Garcia is a big money jockey who won the last Triple Crown race of last year with the longest shot on the board, Da’Tara at 40-1 in the Belmont, so there’s a lot to like about this guy.

Others worth mentioning are Hold Me Back, Musket Man, Papa Clem, and Summer Bird, they have an outside chance of hitting the board at big odds

Bets…

For Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas, i will box these 4 horses

I Want Revenge
Friesan Fire
Pioneer Of The Nile
Regal Ransom

All 4 are coming into this race off of big wins and ran the best race of their lives last time out, all 4 are working bullets at Churchill Downs in morning workouts, and all 4 look ready to roll.

I Want Revenge has something a little special about him that caught my eye, so i will put most of my eggs in his basket and bet him across the board, he will be one of the favorites but his odds should be over 3-1, he is not an overwhelming favorite and was already beaten by 2 other horses in this race earlier this year, Pioneer Of The Nile and Papa Clem, so you’ll get a decent price on him.

Good Luck

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